Probability: Drawing ball without replacement












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$begingroup$


Six billiard balls, numbered $1$ through $6,$ are placed in a box. Three of the balls are red, and three are blue. One ball is to be drawn randomly from the box.



i. The probability that the ball drawn will be an even numbered red ball



ii. $large frac{1}{2}$



Question: Is Option i. greater than Option ii?





My attempt:



Probability of drawing $1$ red ball = $large frac{1}{2}.$



Probability of drawing a red ball AND a even number is $large frac{1}{2}cdotfrac{1}{2}=frac{1}{4}.$



Therefore my answer is no, since $large frac{1}{4}<frac{1}{2}.$










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$endgroup$








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Sounds good reasoning to me.
    $endgroup$
    – EA304GT
    Nov 12 '15 at 1:39






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Yes, although, that is assuming that there's an unbiased probability that any even ball is red. But in the worst case scenario where all even balls are red, then the probability of drawing an even and red ball is $1/2$.
    $endgroup$
    – Graham Kemp
    Nov 12 '15 at 2:10


















0












$begingroup$


Six billiard balls, numbered $1$ through $6,$ are placed in a box. Three of the balls are red, and three are blue. One ball is to be drawn randomly from the box.



i. The probability that the ball drawn will be an even numbered red ball



ii. $large frac{1}{2}$



Question: Is Option i. greater than Option ii?





My attempt:



Probability of drawing $1$ red ball = $large frac{1}{2}.$



Probability of drawing a red ball AND a even number is $large frac{1}{2}cdotfrac{1}{2}=frac{1}{4}.$



Therefore my answer is no, since $large frac{1}{4}<frac{1}{2}.$










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Sounds good reasoning to me.
    $endgroup$
    – EA304GT
    Nov 12 '15 at 1:39






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Yes, although, that is assuming that there's an unbiased probability that any even ball is red. But in the worst case scenario where all even balls are red, then the probability of drawing an even and red ball is $1/2$.
    $endgroup$
    – Graham Kemp
    Nov 12 '15 at 2:10
















0












0








0





$begingroup$


Six billiard balls, numbered $1$ through $6,$ are placed in a box. Three of the balls are red, and three are blue. One ball is to be drawn randomly from the box.



i. The probability that the ball drawn will be an even numbered red ball



ii. $large frac{1}{2}$



Question: Is Option i. greater than Option ii?





My attempt:



Probability of drawing $1$ red ball = $large frac{1}{2}.$



Probability of drawing a red ball AND a even number is $large frac{1}{2}cdotfrac{1}{2}=frac{1}{4}.$



Therefore my answer is no, since $large frac{1}{4}<frac{1}{2}.$










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




Six billiard balls, numbered $1$ through $6,$ are placed in a box. Three of the balls are red, and three are blue. One ball is to be drawn randomly from the box.



i. The probability that the ball drawn will be an even numbered red ball



ii. $large frac{1}{2}$



Question: Is Option i. greater than Option ii?





My attempt:



Probability of drawing $1$ red ball = $large frac{1}{2}.$



Probability of drawing a red ball AND a even number is $large frac{1}{2}cdotfrac{1}{2}=frac{1}{4}.$



Therefore my answer is no, since $large frac{1}{4}<frac{1}{2}.$







probability






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edited Jan 31 at 22:37









Gaby Alfonso

1,1951418




1,1951418










asked Nov 12 '15 at 1:36









kimberlykimberly

1




1








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Sounds good reasoning to me.
    $endgroup$
    – EA304GT
    Nov 12 '15 at 1:39






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Yes, although, that is assuming that there's an unbiased probability that any even ball is red. But in the worst case scenario where all even balls are red, then the probability of drawing an even and red ball is $1/2$.
    $endgroup$
    – Graham Kemp
    Nov 12 '15 at 2:10
















  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Sounds good reasoning to me.
    $endgroup$
    – EA304GT
    Nov 12 '15 at 1:39






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Yes, although, that is assuming that there's an unbiased probability that any even ball is red. But in the worst case scenario where all even balls are red, then the probability of drawing an even and red ball is $1/2$.
    $endgroup$
    – Graham Kemp
    Nov 12 '15 at 2:10










1




1




$begingroup$
Sounds good reasoning to me.
$endgroup$
– EA304GT
Nov 12 '15 at 1:39




$begingroup$
Sounds good reasoning to me.
$endgroup$
– EA304GT
Nov 12 '15 at 1:39




1




1




$begingroup$
Yes, although, that is assuming that there's an unbiased probability that any even ball is red. But in the worst case scenario where all even balls are red, then the probability of drawing an even and red ball is $1/2$.
$endgroup$
– Graham Kemp
Nov 12 '15 at 2:10






$begingroup$
Yes, although, that is assuming that there's an unbiased probability that any even ball is red. But in the worst case scenario where all even balls are red, then the probability of drawing an even and red ball is $1/2$.
$endgroup$
– Graham Kemp
Nov 12 '15 at 2:10












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$begingroup$

The probability that you draw an even numbered ball is ${1over2}$. From $P(Acap B)leq P(A)$ it follows that the compound probability in question cannot be $>{1over2}$ whatever the mechanism in choosing the colors of the balls had been.






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    $begingroup$

    The probability that you draw an even numbered ball is ${1over2}$. From $P(Acap B)leq P(A)$ it follows that the compound probability in question cannot be $>{1over2}$ whatever the mechanism in choosing the colors of the balls had been.






    share|cite|improve this answer









    $endgroup$


















      0












      $begingroup$

      The probability that you draw an even numbered ball is ${1over2}$. From $P(Acap B)leq P(A)$ it follows that the compound probability in question cannot be $>{1over2}$ whatever the mechanism in choosing the colors of the balls had been.






      share|cite|improve this answer









      $endgroup$
















        0












        0








        0





        $begingroup$

        The probability that you draw an even numbered ball is ${1over2}$. From $P(Acap B)leq P(A)$ it follows that the compound probability in question cannot be $>{1over2}$ whatever the mechanism in choosing the colors of the balls had been.






        share|cite|improve this answer









        $endgroup$



        The probability that you draw an even numbered ball is ${1over2}$. From $P(Acap B)leq P(A)$ it follows that the compound probability in question cannot be $>{1over2}$ whatever the mechanism in choosing the colors of the balls had been.







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered Nov 12 '15 at 9:35









        Christian BlatterChristian Blatter

        176k8115328




        176k8115328






























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