What are the relevant hypothesis?












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Octopus Paul in 2010 predicted $8$ matches out of $8$ correctly during the football World Cup. Assume that Paul predicts the winner of a match with probability $p$, assume also that a match can not end with draw. You wish to investigate whether Paul has exceptional prediction abilities by using a statistical test, What are the relevant hypothesis?




1) $H_0:p=0.5$, $H_1:p>0.5$

2) $H_0:p<1$, $H_1:p=1$

3) $H_0:p=1$, $H_1:p<1$

4) $H_0:p>0.5$, $H_1:p=0.5$



I think that the correct one is number 4 because we investigate if the probability of prediction is higher that 0.5 (random selection) it's right?










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  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Not quite: your question is whether Paul was special in some extreme way. Most octopuses (or octopodes) would be assumed to choose at random
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Jan 26 at 12:07






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    So if we assume that he choose randomly it should be number one right?
    $endgroup$
    – Luke Marci
    Jan 26 at 13:02
















0












$begingroup$



Octopus Paul in 2010 predicted $8$ matches out of $8$ correctly during the football World Cup. Assume that Paul predicts the winner of a match with probability $p$, assume also that a match can not end with draw. You wish to investigate whether Paul has exceptional prediction abilities by using a statistical test, What are the relevant hypothesis?




1) $H_0:p=0.5$, $H_1:p>0.5$

2) $H_0:p<1$, $H_1:p=1$

3) $H_0:p=1$, $H_1:p<1$

4) $H_0:p>0.5$, $H_1:p=0.5$



I think that the correct one is number 4 because we investigate if the probability of prediction is higher that 0.5 (random selection) it's right?










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Not quite: your question is whether Paul was special in some extreme way. Most octopuses (or octopodes) would be assumed to choose at random
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Jan 26 at 12:07






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    So if we assume that he choose randomly it should be number one right?
    $endgroup$
    – Luke Marci
    Jan 26 at 13:02














0












0








0





$begingroup$



Octopus Paul in 2010 predicted $8$ matches out of $8$ correctly during the football World Cup. Assume that Paul predicts the winner of a match with probability $p$, assume also that a match can not end with draw. You wish to investigate whether Paul has exceptional prediction abilities by using a statistical test, What are the relevant hypothesis?




1) $H_0:p=0.5$, $H_1:p>0.5$

2) $H_0:p<1$, $H_1:p=1$

3) $H_0:p=1$, $H_1:p<1$

4) $H_0:p>0.5$, $H_1:p=0.5$



I think that the correct one is number 4 because we investigate if the probability of prediction is higher that 0.5 (random selection) it's right?










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$





Octopus Paul in 2010 predicted $8$ matches out of $8$ correctly during the football World Cup. Assume that Paul predicts the winner of a match with probability $p$, assume also that a match can not end with draw. You wish to investigate whether Paul has exceptional prediction abilities by using a statistical test, What are the relevant hypothesis?




1) $H_0:p=0.5$, $H_1:p>0.5$

2) $H_0:p<1$, $H_1:p=1$

3) $H_0:p=1$, $H_1:p<1$

4) $H_0:p>0.5$, $H_1:p=0.5$



I think that the correct one is number 4 because we investigate if the probability of prediction is higher that 0.5 (random selection) it's right?







probability statistics hypothesis-testing






share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question











share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question










asked Jan 26 at 9:55









Luke MarciLuke Marci

856




856








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Not quite: your question is whether Paul was special in some extreme way. Most octopuses (or octopodes) would be assumed to choose at random
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Jan 26 at 12:07






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    So if we assume that he choose randomly it should be number one right?
    $endgroup$
    – Luke Marci
    Jan 26 at 13:02














  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Not quite: your question is whether Paul was special in some extreme way. Most octopuses (or octopodes) would be assumed to choose at random
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Jan 26 at 12:07






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    So if we assume that he choose randomly it should be number one right?
    $endgroup$
    – Luke Marci
    Jan 26 at 13:02








1




1




$begingroup$
Not quite: your question is whether Paul was special in some extreme way. Most octopuses (or octopodes) would be assumed to choose at random
$endgroup$
– Henry
Jan 26 at 12:07




$begingroup$
Not quite: your question is whether Paul was special in some extreme way. Most octopuses (or octopodes) would be assumed to choose at random
$endgroup$
– Henry
Jan 26 at 12:07




1




1




$begingroup$
So if we assume that he choose randomly it should be number one right?
$endgroup$
– Luke Marci
Jan 26 at 13:02




$begingroup$
So if we assume that he choose randomly it should be number one right?
$endgroup$
– Luke Marci
Jan 26 at 13:02










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