AMC 12 2010B Problem Help #18












5












$begingroup$


Can someone explain this solution?
A frog makes 3 jumps, each exactly 1 meter long. The directions of the jumps are chosen independently at random. What is the probability that the frog's final position is no more than 1 meter from its starting position?



Solution 1



We will let the moves be complex numbers a,b , and c, each of magnitude one. The frog starts on the origin. It is relatively easy to show that exactly one element in the set



$$ {|a+b+c|,|a+b-c|,|a-b+c|,|a-b-c|} $$



has magnitude less than or equal to 1. Hence, the probability is 1/4.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Do we know how many jumps it makes?
    $endgroup$
    – Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:30










  • $begingroup$
    I remember this question, it makes two jumps.
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:31












  • $begingroup$
    but in the answer it says a,b,c. Sure it isn't three?
    $endgroup$
    – Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:34










  • $begingroup$
    Nevermind, I was right the first time, it's three jumps.
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:35










  • $begingroup$
    oops. so sorry, yes it is three
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:36
















5












$begingroup$


Can someone explain this solution?
A frog makes 3 jumps, each exactly 1 meter long. The directions of the jumps are chosen independently at random. What is the probability that the frog's final position is no more than 1 meter from its starting position?



Solution 1



We will let the moves be complex numbers a,b , and c, each of magnitude one. The frog starts on the origin. It is relatively easy to show that exactly one element in the set



$$ {|a+b+c|,|a+b-c|,|a-b+c|,|a-b-c|} $$



has magnitude less than or equal to 1. Hence, the probability is 1/4.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Do we know how many jumps it makes?
    $endgroup$
    – Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:30










  • $begingroup$
    I remember this question, it makes two jumps.
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:31












  • $begingroup$
    but in the answer it says a,b,c. Sure it isn't three?
    $endgroup$
    – Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:34










  • $begingroup$
    Nevermind, I was right the first time, it's three jumps.
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:35










  • $begingroup$
    oops. so sorry, yes it is three
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:36














5












5








5


2



$begingroup$


Can someone explain this solution?
A frog makes 3 jumps, each exactly 1 meter long. The directions of the jumps are chosen independently at random. What is the probability that the frog's final position is no more than 1 meter from its starting position?



Solution 1



We will let the moves be complex numbers a,b , and c, each of magnitude one. The frog starts on the origin. It is relatively easy to show that exactly one element in the set



$$ {|a+b+c|,|a+b-c|,|a-b+c|,|a-b-c|} $$



has magnitude less than or equal to 1. Hence, the probability is 1/4.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




Can someone explain this solution?
A frog makes 3 jumps, each exactly 1 meter long. The directions of the jumps are chosen independently at random. What is the probability that the frog's final position is no more than 1 meter from its starting position?



Solution 1



We will let the moves be complex numbers a,b , and c, each of magnitude one. The frog starts on the origin. It is relatively easy to show that exactly one element in the set



$$ {|a+b+c|,|a+b-c|,|a-b+c|,|a-b-c|} $$



has magnitude less than or equal to 1. Hence, the probability is 1/4.







contest-math






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share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited Jan 24 at 5:35









Presh

661718




661718










asked Feb 4 '14 at 0:24









Yadnarav3Yadnarav3

523214




523214












  • $begingroup$
    Do we know how many jumps it makes?
    $endgroup$
    – Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:30










  • $begingroup$
    I remember this question, it makes two jumps.
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:31












  • $begingroup$
    but in the answer it says a,b,c. Sure it isn't three?
    $endgroup$
    – Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:34










  • $begingroup$
    Nevermind, I was right the first time, it's three jumps.
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:35










  • $begingroup$
    oops. so sorry, yes it is three
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:36


















  • $begingroup$
    Do we know how many jumps it makes?
    $endgroup$
    – Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:30










  • $begingroup$
    I remember this question, it makes two jumps.
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:31












  • $begingroup$
    but in the answer it says a,b,c. Sure it isn't three?
    $endgroup$
    – Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:34










  • $begingroup$
    Nevermind, I was right the first time, it's three jumps.
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:35










  • $begingroup$
    oops. so sorry, yes it is three
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 0:36
















$begingroup$
Do we know how many jumps it makes?
$endgroup$
– Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
Feb 4 '14 at 0:30




$begingroup$
Do we know how many jumps it makes?
$endgroup$
– Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
Feb 4 '14 at 0:30












$begingroup$
I remember this question, it makes two jumps.
$endgroup$
– MCT
Feb 4 '14 at 0:31






$begingroup$
I remember this question, it makes two jumps.
$endgroup$
– MCT
Feb 4 '14 at 0:31














$begingroup$
but in the answer it says a,b,c. Sure it isn't three?
$endgroup$
– Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
Feb 4 '14 at 0:34




$begingroup$
but in the answer it says a,b,c. Sure it isn't three?
$endgroup$
– Jorge Fernández Hidalgo
Feb 4 '14 at 0:34












$begingroup$
Nevermind, I was right the first time, it's three jumps.
$endgroup$
– MCT
Feb 4 '14 at 0:35




$begingroup$
Nevermind, I was right the first time, it's three jumps.
$endgroup$
– MCT
Feb 4 '14 at 0:35












$begingroup$
oops. so sorry, yes it is three
$endgroup$
– Yadnarav3
Feb 4 '14 at 0:36




$begingroup$
oops. so sorry, yes it is three
$endgroup$
– Yadnarav3
Feb 4 '14 at 0:36










1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes


















3












$begingroup$

Funny that I remember this problem. Anyway this is how I solved it:



The frog starts at $(0, 0)$ and makes a jump, WLOG let it land at $(1, 0)$. From here, the frog can make two jumps and land anywhere on a circle of radius $2$ centered at $(1, 0)$, each point being equally likely. This has an area of $4 pi$, and this circle is large enough so that it contains the entirety of the desired circle of radius $1$ centered at $(0, 0)$ that we want the frog to end up in. Thus, the probability is $frac{pi}{4pi} = frac{1}{4}$



As for the solution you linked, I don't know particularly what's troubling you about it so I'll explain as much as I can:



We choose at random three steps $a, b, c$. If exactly one element has absolute value (talking vector length here with complex numbers) less than or equal to $1$, then, out of $4$ possibilities, one will be inside the inner circle. So the probability is $frac{1}{4}$.



How would you prove that exactly one is? Try considering whether it's possible to have more than one step which satisfies the conditions, and furthermore consider whether if none of them are. (This is pretty much the essence of the solution, so I don't want to just spoon feed it to you, especially since this is contest math)






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    but I wanna be spoon fed this time :[ ] feed me
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:07












  • $begingroup$
    The proof of why exactly one element has magnitude less than or equal to one is what stumps me.
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:08










  • $begingroup$
    Well, what you have in the set is all of the possible permutations of negative and positive signs (considering absolute value) of the three steps. Assuming it exists, consider the permutation that leads to an absolute value of less than or equal to 1. What would happen if you changed the sign of one of the steps?
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:28












  • $begingroup$
    Is there a nice proof that the sum of two unit vectors is uniformly distributed in the disc of radius 2? There is clear radial symmetry, but I'm not sure that the distribution (conditional on lying on a particular radial line) is uniform. In particular, if $theta$ is uniform $[0,2pi]$, I think the radial distribution is $2cos theta.$
    $endgroup$
    – Aaron
    Feb 4 '14 at 4:11










  • $begingroup$
    @Aaron The sum of two uniform unit vectors is indeed not uniform in the disc of radius 2. The radius $R$ of the sum has as its CDF $mathbb{P}(R leq r) = 1-frac{1}{pi}arccosleft(frac{r^2-2}{2}right)$ for $0 leq r leq 2$.
    $endgroup$
    – kccu
    Jan 24 at 4:44













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1 Answer
1






active

oldest

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1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes









active

oldest

votes






active

oldest

votes









3












$begingroup$

Funny that I remember this problem. Anyway this is how I solved it:



The frog starts at $(0, 0)$ and makes a jump, WLOG let it land at $(1, 0)$. From here, the frog can make two jumps and land anywhere on a circle of radius $2$ centered at $(1, 0)$, each point being equally likely. This has an area of $4 pi$, and this circle is large enough so that it contains the entirety of the desired circle of radius $1$ centered at $(0, 0)$ that we want the frog to end up in. Thus, the probability is $frac{pi}{4pi} = frac{1}{4}$



As for the solution you linked, I don't know particularly what's troubling you about it so I'll explain as much as I can:



We choose at random three steps $a, b, c$. If exactly one element has absolute value (talking vector length here with complex numbers) less than or equal to $1$, then, out of $4$ possibilities, one will be inside the inner circle. So the probability is $frac{1}{4}$.



How would you prove that exactly one is? Try considering whether it's possible to have more than one step which satisfies the conditions, and furthermore consider whether if none of them are. (This is pretty much the essence of the solution, so I don't want to just spoon feed it to you, especially since this is contest math)






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    but I wanna be spoon fed this time :[ ] feed me
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:07












  • $begingroup$
    The proof of why exactly one element has magnitude less than or equal to one is what stumps me.
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:08










  • $begingroup$
    Well, what you have in the set is all of the possible permutations of negative and positive signs (considering absolute value) of the three steps. Assuming it exists, consider the permutation that leads to an absolute value of less than or equal to 1. What would happen if you changed the sign of one of the steps?
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:28












  • $begingroup$
    Is there a nice proof that the sum of two unit vectors is uniformly distributed in the disc of radius 2? There is clear radial symmetry, but I'm not sure that the distribution (conditional on lying on a particular radial line) is uniform. In particular, if $theta$ is uniform $[0,2pi]$, I think the radial distribution is $2cos theta.$
    $endgroup$
    – Aaron
    Feb 4 '14 at 4:11










  • $begingroup$
    @Aaron The sum of two uniform unit vectors is indeed not uniform in the disc of radius 2. The radius $R$ of the sum has as its CDF $mathbb{P}(R leq r) = 1-frac{1}{pi}arccosleft(frac{r^2-2}{2}right)$ for $0 leq r leq 2$.
    $endgroup$
    – kccu
    Jan 24 at 4:44


















3












$begingroup$

Funny that I remember this problem. Anyway this is how I solved it:



The frog starts at $(0, 0)$ and makes a jump, WLOG let it land at $(1, 0)$. From here, the frog can make two jumps and land anywhere on a circle of radius $2$ centered at $(1, 0)$, each point being equally likely. This has an area of $4 pi$, and this circle is large enough so that it contains the entirety of the desired circle of radius $1$ centered at $(0, 0)$ that we want the frog to end up in. Thus, the probability is $frac{pi}{4pi} = frac{1}{4}$



As for the solution you linked, I don't know particularly what's troubling you about it so I'll explain as much as I can:



We choose at random three steps $a, b, c$. If exactly one element has absolute value (talking vector length here with complex numbers) less than or equal to $1$, then, out of $4$ possibilities, one will be inside the inner circle. So the probability is $frac{1}{4}$.



How would you prove that exactly one is? Try considering whether it's possible to have more than one step which satisfies the conditions, and furthermore consider whether if none of them are. (This is pretty much the essence of the solution, so I don't want to just spoon feed it to you, especially since this is contest math)






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    but I wanna be spoon fed this time :[ ] feed me
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:07












  • $begingroup$
    The proof of why exactly one element has magnitude less than or equal to one is what stumps me.
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:08










  • $begingroup$
    Well, what you have in the set is all of the possible permutations of negative and positive signs (considering absolute value) of the three steps. Assuming it exists, consider the permutation that leads to an absolute value of less than or equal to 1. What would happen if you changed the sign of one of the steps?
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:28












  • $begingroup$
    Is there a nice proof that the sum of two unit vectors is uniformly distributed in the disc of radius 2? There is clear radial symmetry, but I'm not sure that the distribution (conditional on lying on a particular radial line) is uniform. In particular, if $theta$ is uniform $[0,2pi]$, I think the radial distribution is $2cos theta.$
    $endgroup$
    – Aaron
    Feb 4 '14 at 4:11










  • $begingroup$
    @Aaron The sum of two uniform unit vectors is indeed not uniform in the disc of radius 2. The radius $R$ of the sum has as its CDF $mathbb{P}(R leq r) = 1-frac{1}{pi}arccosleft(frac{r^2-2}{2}right)$ for $0 leq r leq 2$.
    $endgroup$
    – kccu
    Jan 24 at 4:44
















3












3








3





$begingroup$

Funny that I remember this problem. Anyway this is how I solved it:



The frog starts at $(0, 0)$ and makes a jump, WLOG let it land at $(1, 0)$. From here, the frog can make two jumps and land anywhere on a circle of radius $2$ centered at $(1, 0)$, each point being equally likely. This has an area of $4 pi$, and this circle is large enough so that it contains the entirety of the desired circle of radius $1$ centered at $(0, 0)$ that we want the frog to end up in. Thus, the probability is $frac{pi}{4pi} = frac{1}{4}$



As for the solution you linked, I don't know particularly what's troubling you about it so I'll explain as much as I can:



We choose at random three steps $a, b, c$. If exactly one element has absolute value (talking vector length here with complex numbers) less than or equal to $1$, then, out of $4$ possibilities, one will be inside the inner circle. So the probability is $frac{1}{4}$.



How would you prove that exactly one is? Try considering whether it's possible to have more than one step which satisfies the conditions, and furthermore consider whether if none of them are. (This is pretty much the essence of the solution, so I don't want to just spoon feed it to you, especially since this is contest math)






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$



Funny that I remember this problem. Anyway this is how I solved it:



The frog starts at $(0, 0)$ and makes a jump, WLOG let it land at $(1, 0)$. From here, the frog can make two jumps and land anywhere on a circle of radius $2$ centered at $(1, 0)$, each point being equally likely. This has an area of $4 pi$, and this circle is large enough so that it contains the entirety of the desired circle of radius $1$ centered at $(0, 0)$ that we want the frog to end up in. Thus, the probability is $frac{pi}{4pi} = frac{1}{4}$



As for the solution you linked, I don't know particularly what's troubling you about it so I'll explain as much as I can:



We choose at random three steps $a, b, c$. If exactly one element has absolute value (talking vector length here with complex numbers) less than or equal to $1$, then, out of $4$ possibilities, one will be inside the inner circle. So the probability is $frac{1}{4}$.



How would you prove that exactly one is? Try considering whether it's possible to have more than one step which satisfies the conditions, and furthermore consider whether if none of them are. (This is pretty much the essence of the solution, so I don't want to just spoon feed it to you, especially since this is contest math)







share|cite|improve this answer














share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer








edited Feb 4 '14 at 0:58

























answered Feb 4 '14 at 0:34









MCTMCT

14.5k42668




14.5k42668












  • $begingroup$
    but I wanna be spoon fed this time :[ ] feed me
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:07












  • $begingroup$
    The proof of why exactly one element has magnitude less than or equal to one is what stumps me.
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:08










  • $begingroup$
    Well, what you have in the set is all of the possible permutations of negative and positive signs (considering absolute value) of the three steps. Assuming it exists, consider the permutation that leads to an absolute value of less than or equal to 1. What would happen if you changed the sign of one of the steps?
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:28












  • $begingroup$
    Is there a nice proof that the sum of two unit vectors is uniformly distributed in the disc of radius 2? There is clear radial symmetry, but I'm not sure that the distribution (conditional on lying on a particular radial line) is uniform. In particular, if $theta$ is uniform $[0,2pi]$, I think the radial distribution is $2cos theta.$
    $endgroup$
    – Aaron
    Feb 4 '14 at 4:11










  • $begingroup$
    @Aaron The sum of two uniform unit vectors is indeed not uniform in the disc of radius 2. The radius $R$ of the sum has as its CDF $mathbb{P}(R leq r) = 1-frac{1}{pi}arccosleft(frac{r^2-2}{2}right)$ for $0 leq r leq 2$.
    $endgroup$
    – kccu
    Jan 24 at 4:44




















  • $begingroup$
    but I wanna be spoon fed this time :[ ] feed me
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:07












  • $begingroup$
    The proof of why exactly one element has magnitude less than or equal to one is what stumps me.
    $endgroup$
    – Yadnarav3
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:08










  • $begingroup$
    Well, what you have in the set is all of the possible permutations of negative and positive signs (considering absolute value) of the three steps. Assuming it exists, consider the permutation that leads to an absolute value of less than or equal to 1. What would happen if you changed the sign of one of the steps?
    $endgroup$
    – MCT
    Feb 4 '14 at 1:28












  • $begingroup$
    Is there a nice proof that the sum of two unit vectors is uniformly distributed in the disc of radius 2? There is clear radial symmetry, but I'm not sure that the distribution (conditional on lying on a particular radial line) is uniform. In particular, if $theta$ is uniform $[0,2pi]$, I think the radial distribution is $2cos theta.$
    $endgroup$
    – Aaron
    Feb 4 '14 at 4:11










  • $begingroup$
    @Aaron The sum of two uniform unit vectors is indeed not uniform in the disc of radius 2. The radius $R$ of the sum has as its CDF $mathbb{P}(R leq r) = 1-frac{1}{pi}arccosleft(frac{r^2-2}{2}right)$ for $0 leq r leq 2$.
    $endgroup$
    – kccu
    Jan 24 at 4:44


















$begingroup$
but I wanna be spoon fed this time :[ ] feed me
$endgroup$
– Yadnarav3
Feb 4 '14 at 1:07






$begingroup$
but I wanna be spoon fed this time :[ ] feed me
$endgroup$
– Yadnarav3
Feb 4 '14 at 1:07














$begingroup$
The proof of why exactly one element has magnitude less than or equal to one is what stumps me.
$endgroup$
– Yadnarav3
Feb 4 '14 at 1:08




$begingroup$
The proof of why exactly one element has magnitude less than or equal to one is what stumps me.
$endgroup$
– Yadnarav3
Feb 4 '14 at 1:08












$begingroup$
Well, what you have in the set is all of the possible permutations of negative and positive signs (considering absolute value) of the three steps. Assuming it exists, consider the permutation that leads to an absolute value of less than or equal to 1. What would happen if you changed the sign of one of the steps?
$endgroup$
– MCT
Feb 4 '14 at 1:28






$begingroup$
Well, what you have in the set is all of the possible permutations of negative and positive signs (considering absolute value) of the three steps. Assuming it exists, consider the permutation that leads to an absolute value of less than or equal to 1. What would happen if you changed the sign of one of the steps?
$endgroup$
– MCT
Feb 4 '14 at 1:28














$begingroup$
Is there a nice proof that the sum of two unit vectors is uniformly distributed in the disc of radius 2? There is clear radial symmetry, but I'm not sure that the distribution (conditional on lying on a particular radial line) is uniform. In particular, if $theta$ is uniform $[0,2pi]$, I think the radial distribution is $2cos theta.$
$endgroup$
– Aaron
Feb 4 '14 at 4:11




$begingroup$
Is there a nice proof that the sum of two unit vectors is uniformly distributed in the disc of radius 2? There is clear radial symmetry, but I'm not sure that the distribution (conditional on lying on a particular radial line) is uniform. In particular, if $theta$ is uniform $[0,2pi]$, I think the radial distribution is $2cos theta.$
$endgroup$
– Aaron
Feb 4 '14 at 4:11












$begingroup$
@Aaron The sum of two uniform unit vectors is indeed not uniform in the disc of radius 2. The radius $R$ of the sum has as its CDF $mathbb{P}(R leq r) = 1-frac{1}{pi}arccosleft(frac{r^2-2}{2}right)$ for $0 leq r leq 2$.
$endgroup$
– kccu
Jan 24 at 4:44






$begingroup$
@Aaron The sum of two uniform unit vectors is indeed not uniform in the disc of radius 2. The radius $R$ of the sum has as its CDF $mathbb{P}(R leq r) = 1-frac{1}{pi}arccosleft(frac{r^2-2}{2}right)$ for $0 leq r leq 2$.
$endgroup$
– kccu
Jan 24 at 4:44




















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