What is the probabillity of winning at ball drawing?












0












$begingroup$


If balls are numerated 1 to 48, and 35 balls are drawn, what is the chance we have 6 numbers ? Order of balls is not important.



It's local bingo and I was wondering what are the chance of winning.










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$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Do you mean six particular numbers?
    $endgroup$
    – jvdhooft
    Feb 1 at 12:35










  • $begingroup$
    I mean any of 6 balls of 36 drawn in interval [1, 48] .
    $endgroup$
    – Dinko Pehar
    Feb 1 at 12:37










  • $begingroup$
    With or without replacing?
    $endgroup$
    – drhab
    Feb 1 at 12:43










  • $begingroup$
    @dhrab: Apparently it is bingo, so without replacement
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Feb 1 at 12:45
















0












$begingroup$


If balls are numerated 1 to 48, and 35 balls are drawn, what is the chance we have 6 numbers ? Order of balls is not important.



It's local bingo and I was wondering what are the chance of winning.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Do you mean six particular numbers?
    $endgroup$
    – jvdhooft
    Feb 1 at 12:35










  • $begingroup$
    I mean any of 6 balls of 36 drawn in interval [1, 48] .
    $endgroup$
    – Dinko Pehar
    Feb 1 at 12:37










  • $begingroup$
    With or without replacing?
    $endgroup$
    – drhab
    Feb 1 at 12:43










  • $begingroup$
    @dhrab: Apparently it is bingo, so without replacement
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Feb 1 at 12:45














0












0








0


1



$begingroup$


If balls are numerated 1 to 48, and 35 balls are drawn, what is the chance we have 6 numbers ? Order of balls is not important.



It's local bingo and I was wondering what are the chance of winning.










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




If balls are numerated 1 to 48, and 35 balls are drawn, what is the chance we have 6 numbers ? Order of balls is not important.



It's local bingo and I was wondering what are the chance of winning.







probability combinatorics






share|cite|improve this question















share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited Feb 2 at 23:39









Henno Brandsma

116k349127




116k349127










asked Feb 1 at 12:33









Dinko PeharDinko Pehar

1033




1033












  • $begingroup$
    Do you mean six particular numbers?
    $endgroup$
    – jvdhooft
    Feb 1 at 12:35










  • $begingroup$
    I mean any of 6 balls of 36 drawn in interval [1, 48] .
    $endgroup$
    – Dinko Pehar
    Feb 1 at 12:37










  • $begingroup$
    With or without replacing?
    $endgroup$
    – drhab
    Feb 1 at 12:43










  • $begingroup$
    @dhrab: Apparently it is bingo, so without replacement
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Feb 1 at 12:45


















  • $begingroup$
    Do you mean six particular numbers?
    $endgroup$
    – jvdhooft
    Feb 1 at 12:35










  • $begingroup$
    I mean any of 6 balls of 36 drawn in interval [1, 48] .
    $endgroup$
    – Dinko Pehar
    Feb 1 at 12:37










  • $begingroup$
    With or without replacing?
    $endgroup$
    – drhab
    Feb 1 at 12:43










  • $begingroup$
    @dhrab: Apparently it is bingo, so without replacement
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Feb 1 at 12:45
















$begingroup$
Do you mean six particular numbers?
$endgroup$
– jvdhooft
Feb 1 at 12:35




$begingroup$
Do you mean six particular numbers?
$endgroup$
– jvdhooft
Feb 1 at 12:35












$begingroup$
I mean any of 6 balls of 36 drawn in interval [1, 48] .
$endgroup$
– Dinko Pehar
Feb 1 at 12:37




$begingroup$
I mean any of 6 balls of 36 drawn in interval [1, 48] .
$endgroup$
– Dinko Pehar
Feb 1 at 12:37












$begingroup$
With or without replacing?
$endgroup$
– drhab
Feb 1 at 12:43




$begingroup$
With or without replacing?
$endgroup$
– drhab
Feb 1 at 12:43












$begingroup$
@dhrab: Apparently it is bingo, so without replacement
$endgroup$
– Henry
Feb 1 at 12:45




$begingroup$
@dhrab: Apparently it is bingo, so without replacement
$endgroup$
– Henry
Feb 1 at 12:45










2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes


















3












$begingroup$

There are ${48 choose 35}$ equally likely sets of $35$ selected numbers



Of these, ${48-6 choose 35-6}$ contain all six desired numbers



So the chance that all six desired numbers are selected in the $35$ is $dfrac{42 choose 29}{48 choose 35}approx 0.13227$






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Is it 13 % or 0.13 % ? I didn't get the last part
    $endgroup$
    – Dinko Pehar
    Feb 1 at 13:39










  • $begingroup$
    @DinkoPehar $13%$ or $frac{18445}{139449}$
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Feb 1 at 14:06



















0












$begingroup$

Hint:



Probably to be solved with hypergeometric distribution.



Turn things around and select randomly $6$ distinct numbers.



Then what is the probability that all $6$ numbers do not exceed $35$?



(on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,35]$ and on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,48]$?)






share|cite|improve this answer











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    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes








    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes









    active

    oldest

    votes






    active

    oldest

    votes









    3












    $begingroup$

    There are ${48 choose 35}$ equally likely sets of $35$ selected numbers



    Of these, ${48-6 choose 35-6}$ contain all six desired numbers



    So the chance that all six desired numbers are selected in the $35$ is $dfrac{42 choose 29}{48 choose 35}approx 0.13227$






    share|cite|improve this answer









    $endgroup$













    • $begingroup$
      Is it 13 % or 0.13 % ? I didn't get the last part
      $endgroup$
      – Dinko Pehar
      Feb 1 at 13:39










    • $begingroup$
      @DinkoPehar $13%$ or $frac{18445}{139449}$
      $endgroup$
      – Henry
      Feb 1 at 14:06
















    3












    $begingroup$

    There are ${48 choose 35}$ equally likely sets of $35$ selected numbers



    Of these, ${48-6 choose 35-6}$ contain all six desired numbers



    So the chance that all six desired numbers are selected in the $35$ is $dfrac{42 choose 29}{48 choose 35}approx 0.13227$






    share|cite|improve this answer









    $endgroup$













    • $begingroup$
      Is it 13 % or 0.13 % ? I didn't get the last part
      $endgroup$
      – Dinko Pehar
      Feb 1 at 13:39










    • $begingroup$
      @DinkoPehar $13%$ or $frac{18445}{139449}$
      $endgroup$
      – Henry
      Feb 1 at 14:06














    3












    3








    3





    $begingroup$

    There are ${48 choose 35}$ equally likely sets of $35$ selected numbers



    Of these, ${48-6 choose 35-6}$ contain all six desired numbers



    So the chance that all six desired numbers are selected in the $35$ is $dfrac{42 choose 29}{48 choose 35}approx 0.13227$






    share|cite|improve this answer









    $endgroup$



    There are ${48 choose 35}$ equally likely sets of $35$ selected numbers



    Of these, ${48-6 choose 35-6}$ contain all six desired numbers



    So the chance that all six desired numbers are selected in the $35$ is $dfrac{42 choose 29}{48 choose 35}approx 0.13227$







    share|cite|improve this answer












    share|cite|improve this answer



    share|cite|improve this answer










    answered Feb 1 at 12:53









    HenryHenry

    101k482170




    101k482170












    • $begingroup$
      Is it 13 % or 0.13 % ? I didn't get the last part
      $endgroup$
      – Dinko Pehar
      Feb 1 at 13:39










    • $begingroup$
      @DinkoPehar $13%$ or $frac{18445}{139449}$
      $endgroup$
      – Henry
      Feb 1 at 14:06


















    • $begingroup$
      Is it 13 % or 0.13 % ? I didn't get the last part
      $endgroup$
      – Dinko Pehar
      Feb 1 at 13:39










    • $begingroup$
      @DinkoPehar $13%$ or $frac{18445}{139449}$
      $endgroup$
      – Henry
      Feb 1 at 14:06
















    $begingroup$
    Is it 13 % or 0.13 % ? I didn't get the last part
    $endgroup$
    – Dinko Pehar
    Feb 1 at 13:39




    $begingroup$
    Is it 13 % or 0.13 % ? I didn't get the last part
    $endgroup$
    – Dinko Pehar
    Feb 1 at 13:39












    $begingroup$
    @DinkoPehar $13%$ or $frac{18445}{139449}$
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Feb 1 at 14:06




    $begingroup$
    @DinkoPehar $13%$ or $frac{18445}{139449}$
    $endgroup$
    – Henry
    Feb 1 at 14:06











    0












    $begingroup$

    Hint:



    Probably to be solved with hypergeometric distribution.



    Turn things around and select randomly $6$ distinct numbers.



    Then what is the probability that all $6$ numbers do not exceed $35$?



    (on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,35]$ and on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,48]$?)






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$


















      0












      $begingroup$

      Hint:



      Probably to be solved with hypergeometric distribution.



      Turn things around and select randomly $6$ distinct numbers.



      Then what is the probability that all $6$ numbers do not exceed $35$?



      (on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,35]$ and on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,48]$?)






      share|cite|improve this answer











      $endgroup$
















        0












        0








        0





        $begingroup$

        Hint:



        Probably to be solved with hypergeometric distribution.



        Turn things around and select randomly $6$ distinct numbers.



        Then what is the probability that all $6$ numbers do not exceed $35$?



        (on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,35]$ and on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,48]$?)






        share|cite|improve this answer











        $endgroup$



        Hint:



        Probably to be solved with hypergeometric distribution.



        Turn things around and select randomly $6$ distinct numbers.



        Then what is the probability that all $6$ numbers do not exceed $35$?



        (on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,35]$ and on how many ways can you select $6$ numbers in $[1,48]$?)







        share|cite|improve this answer














        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer








        edited Feb 1 at 12:49

























        answered Feb 1 at 12:43









        drhabdrhab

        104k545136




        104k545136






























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