How to calculate these specific probabilities?
$begingroup$
I need to calculate the probability that a person wins. So there are 7 persons standing in line and each of them wears either a blue or a red hat. Now the question is, how do you calculate the probability that a person wins, thus the probability that all the persons in front of him wear a blue hat? In total there are 13 hats: 6 blue and 7 red.
At first I thought that e.g. P(last person wins) = 6!/(13^6), but then I don't know how to do it for the one but last person and so on.
Also a friend of mine said that P(last person wins) = 1/2^6 , P(one but last person wins) = 1/2^5, however I don't understand where she got the (1/2) from.
Can you guys help me figure this out please?
probability
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
I need to calculate the probability that a person wins. So there are 7 persons standing in line and each of them wears either a blue or a red hat. Now the question is, how do you calculate the probability that a person wins, thus the probability that all the persons in front of him wear a blue hat? In total there are 13 hats: 6 blue and 7 red.
At first I thought that e.g. P(last person wins) = 6!/(13^6), but then I don't know how to do it for the one but last person and so on.
Also a friend of mine said that P(last person wins) = 1/2^6 , P(one but last person wins) = 1/2^5, however I don't understand where she got the (1/2) from.
Can you guys help me figure this out please?
probability
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
I need to calculate the probability that a person wins. So there are 7 persons standing in line and each of them wears either a blue or a red hat. Now the question is, how do you calculate the probability that a person wins, thus the probability that all the persons in front of him wear a blue hat? In total there are 13 hats: 6 blue and 7 red.
At first I thought that e.g. P(last person wins) = 6!/(13^6), but then I don't know how to do it for the one but last person and so on.
Also a friend of mine said that P(last person wins) = 1/2^6 , P(one but last person wins) = 1/2^5, however I don't understand where she got the (1/2) from.
Can you guys help me figure this out please?
probability
$endgroup$
I need to calculate the probability that a person wins. So there are 7 persons standing in line and each of them wears either a blue or a red hat. Now the question is, how do you calculate the probability that a person wins, thus the probability that all the persons in front of him wear a blue hat? In total there are 13 hats: 6 blue and 7 red.
At first I thought that e.g. P(last person wins) = 6!/(13^6), but then I don't know how to do it for the one but last person and so on.
Also a friend of mine said that P(last person wins) = 1/2^6 , P(one but last person wins) = 1/2^5, however I don't understand where she got the (1/2) from.
Can you guys help me figure this out please?
probability
probability
asked Jan 15 at 8:51


Ronny LeleuRonny Leleu
11
11
add a comment |
add a comment |
0
active
oldest
votes
Your Answer
StackExchange.ifUsing("editor", function () {
return StackExchange.using("mathjaxEditing", function () {
StackExchange.MarkdownEditor.creationCallbacks.add(function (editor, postfix) {
StackExchange.mathjaxEditing.prepareWmdForMathJax(editor, postfix, [["$", "$"], ["\\(","\\)"]]);
});
});
}, "mathjax-editing");
StackExchange.ready(function() {
var channelOptions = {
tags: "".split(" "),
id: "69"
};
initTagRenderer("".split(" "), "".split(" "), channelOptions);
StackExchange.using("externalEditor", function() {
// Have to fire editor after snippets, if snippets enabled
if (StackExchange.settings.snippets.snippetsEnabled) {
StackExchange.using("snippets", function() {
createEditor();
});
}
else {
createEditor();
}
});
function createEditor() {
StackExchange.prepareEditor({
heartbeatType: 'answer',
autoActivateHeartbeat: false,
convertImagesToLinks: true,
noModals: true,
showLowRepImageUploadWarning: true,
reputationToPostImages: 10,
bindNavPrevention: true,
postfix: "",
imageUploader: {
brandingHtml: "Powered by u003ca class="icon-imgur-white" href="https://imgur.com/"u003eu003c/au003e",
contentPolicyHtml: "User contributions licensed under u003ca href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/"u003ecc by-sa 3.0 with attribution requiredu003c/au003e u003ca href="https://stackoverflow.com/legal/content-policy"u003e(content policy)u003c/au003e",
allowUrls: true
},
noCode: true, onDemand: true,
discardSelector: ".discard-answer"
,immediatelyShowMarkdownHelp:true
});
}
});
Sign up or log in
StackExchange.ready(function () {
StackExchange.helpers.onClickDraftSave('#login-link');
});
Sign up using Google
Sign up using Facebook
Sign up using Email and Password
Post as a guest
Required, but never shown
StackExchange.ready(
function () {
StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3074213%2fhow-to-calculate-these-specific-probabilities%23new-answer', 'question_page');
}
);
Post as a guest
Required, but never shown
0
active
oldest
votes
0
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
Thanks for contributing an answer to Mathematics Stack Exchange!
- Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!
But avoid …
- Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.
- Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.
Use MathJax to format equations. MathJax reference.
To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.
Sign up or log in
StackExchange.ready(function () {
StackExchange.helpers.onClickDraftSave('#login-link');
});
Sign up using Google
Sign up using Facebook
Sign up using Email and Password
Post as a guest
Required, but never shown
StackExchange.ready(
function () {
StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3074213%2fhow-to-calculate-these-specific-probabilities%23new-answer', 'question_page');
}
);
Post as a guest
Required, but never shown
Sign up or log in
StackExchange.ready(function () {
StackExchange.helpers.onClickDraftSave('#login-link');
});
Sign up using Google
Sign up using Facebook
Sign up using Email and Password
Post as a guest
Required, but never shown
Sign up or log in
StackExchange.ready(function () {
StackExchange.helpers.onClickDraftSave('#login-link');
});
Sign up using Google
Sign up using Facebook
Sign up using Email and Password
Post as a guest
Required, but never shown
Sign up or log in
StackExchange.ready(function () {
StackExchange.helpers.onClickDraftSave('#login-link');
});
Sign up using Google
Sign up using Facebook
Sign up using Email and Password
Sign up using Google
Sign up using Facebook
Sign up using Email and Password
Post as a guest
Required, but never shown
Required, but never shown
Required, but never shown
Required, but never shown
Required, but never shown
Required, but never shown
Required, but never shown
Required, but never shown
Required, but never shown