stopping time and quadratic variation process












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Let $tau$ be a stopping time and $(M_n)_{n in mathbb{N}_0}$ be a martingale with $mathbb{E}(M_n^2)<infty$ for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$. Show that, if $langle M rangle_{tau} = 0$ (where it means the quadratic variation) a.s. then $$mathbb{P}(M_{tau wedge n} = M_0 , , text{for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$})=1.$$




I cannot understand the point, in fact $$mathbb{P}(M_{tau wedge n} = M_0 , , text{for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$})=1$$ I think it means that the stopping time is $tau=0$ but it makes no sense.
Could someone help me to resolve this exercise?










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$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    It means that the martingale is constant (for fixed $omega in Omega$) up to time $tau$, i.e. $M_0(omega) = M_1(omega) = ldots = M_n(omega)$ for all $n leq tau(omega)$.
    $endgroup$
    – saz
    Jan 23 at 18:57












  • $begingroup$
    Perfect I have understood. Could you help me also with the assumption? Because I know that the quadratic variation equal to 0 means that also Mn^2 is a martingale, but what change if there is τ instead of n?
    $endgroup$
    – Francesca Ballatore
    Jan 23 at 19:22
















0












$begingroup$



Let $tau$ be a stopping time and $(M_n)_{n in mathbb{N}_0}$ be a martingale with $mathbb{E}(M_n^2)<infty$ for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$. Show that, if $langle M rangle_{tau} = 0$ (where it means the quadratic variation) a.s. then $$mathbb{P}(M_{tau wedge n} = M_0 , , text{for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$})=1.$$




I cannot understand the point, in fact $$mathbb{P}(M_{tau wedge n} = M_0 , , text{for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$})=1$$ I think it means that the stopping time is $tau=0$ but it makes no sense.
Could someone help me to resolve this exercise?










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    It means that the martingale is constant (for fixed $omega in Omega$) up to time $tau$, i.e. $M_0(omega) = M_1(omega) = ldots = M_n(omega)$ for all $n leq tau(omega)$.
    $endgroup$
    – saz
    Jan 23 at 18:57












  • $begingroup$
    Perfect I have understood. Could you help me also with the assumption? Because I know that the quadratic variation equal to 0 means that also Mn^2 is a martingale, but what change if there is τ instead of n?
    $endgroup$
    – Francesca Ballatore
    Jan 23 at 19:22














0












0








0





$begingroup$



Let $tau$ be a stopping time and $(M_n)_{n in mathbb{N}_0}$ be a martingale with $mathbb{E}(M_n^2)<infty$ for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$. Show that, if $langle M rangle_{tau} = 0$ (where it means the quadratic variation) a.s. then $$mathbb{P}(M_{tau wedge n} = M_0 , , text{for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$})=1.$$




I cannot understand the point, in fact $$mathbb{P}(M_{tau wedge n} = M_0 , , text{for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$})=1$$ I think it means that the stopping time is $tau=0$ but it makes no sense.
Could someone help me to resolve this exercise?










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$





Let $tau$ be a stopping time and $(M_n)_{n in mathbb{N}_0}$ be a martingale with $mathbb{E}(M_n^2)<infty$ for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$. Show that, if $langle M rangle_{tau} = 0$ (where it means the quadratic variation) a.s. then $$mathbb{P}(M_{tau wedge n} = M_0 , , text{for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$})=1.$$




I cannot understand the point, in fact $$mathbb{P}(M_{tau wedge n} = M_0 , , text{for any $n in mathbb{N}_0$})=1$$ I think it means that the stopping time is $tau=0$ but it makes no sense.
Could someone help me to resolve this exercise?







stochastic-processes martingales stopping-times






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share|cite|improve this question













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edited Jan 23 at 18:54









saz

81.7k861128




81.7k861128










asked Jan 23 at 18:47









Francesca BallatoreFrancesca Ballatore

426




426












  • $begingroup$
    It means that the martingale is constant (for fixed $omega in Omega$) up to time $tau$, i.e. $M_0(omega) = M_1(omega) = ldots = M_n(omega)$ for all $n leq tau(omega)$.
    $endgroup$
    – saz
    Jan 23 at 18:57












  • $begingroup$
    Perfect I have understood. Could you help me also with the assumption? Because I know that the quadratic variation equal to 0 means that also Mn^2 is a martingale, but what change if there is τ instead of n?
    $endgroup$
    – Francesca Ballatore
    Jan 23 at 19:22


















  • $begingroup$
    It means that the martingale is constant (for fixed $omega in Omega$) up to time $tau$, i.e. $M_0(omega) = M_1(omega) = ldots = M_n(omega)$ for all $n leq tau(omega)$.
    $endgroup$
    – saz
    Jan 23 at 18:57












  • $begingroup$
    Perfect I have understood. Could you help me also with the assumption? Because I know that the quadratic variation equal to 0 means that also Mn^2 is a martingale, but what change if there is τ instead of n?
    $endgroup$
    – Francesca Ballatore
    Jan 23 at 19:22
















$begingroup$
It means that the martingale is constant (for fixed $omega in Omega$) up to time $tau$, i.e. $M_0(omega) = M_1(omega) = ldots = M_n(omega)$ for all $n leq tau(omega)$.
$endgroup$
– saz
Jan 23 at 18:57






$begingroup$
It means that the martingale is constant (for fixed $omega in Omega$) up to time $tau$, i.e. $M_0(omega) = M_1(omega) = ldots = M_n(omega)$ for all $n leq tau(omega)$.
$endgroup$
– saz
Jan 23 at 18:57














$begingroup$
Perfect I have understood. Could you help me also with the assumption? Because I know that the quadratic variation equal to 0 means that also Mn^2 is a martingale, but what change if there is τ instead of n?
$endgroup$
– Francesca Ballatore
Jan 23 at 19:22




$begingroup$
Perfect I have understood. Could you help me also with the assumption? Because I know that the quadratic variation equal to 0 means that also Mn^2 is a martingale, but what change if there is τ instead of n?
$endgroup$
– Francesca Ballatore
Jan 23 at 19:22










1 Answer
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$begingroup$

Hints:




  1. Use the optional stopping theorem to show that $$X_n := M_{n wedge tau}^2 - langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}$$ is a martingale; in particular $$mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2) - mathbb{E}(M_0^2) = mathbb{E}(langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}). tag{1}$$

  2. Deduce from $langle M rangle_{tau} = 0$ that $langle M rangle_{n wedge tau} = 0$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$.

  3. Show that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2) = mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2)-mathbb{E}(M_0^2), qquad n in mathbb{N}_0.$$ (Expand the square and then use the tower property of conditional expectation + the martingale property.)

  4. Combining the first three steps shows that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2)=0$$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$. Conclude.






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    1












    $begingroup$

    Hints:




    1. Use the optional stopping theorem to show that $$X_n := M_{n wedge tau}^2 - langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}$$ is a martingale; in particular $$mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2) - mathbb{E}(M_0^2) = mathbb{E}(langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}). tag{1}$$

    2. Deduce from $langle M rangle_{tau} = 0$ that $langle M rangle_{n wedge tau} = 0$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$.

    3. Show that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2) = mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2)-mathbb{E}(M_0^2), qquad n in mathbb{N}_0.$$ (Expand the square and then use the tower property of conditional expectation + the martingale property.)

    4. Combining the first three steps shows that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2)=0$$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$. Conclude.






    share|cite|improve this answer











    $endgroup$


















      1












      $begingroup$

      Hints:




      1. Use the optional stopping theorem to show that $$X_n := M_{n wedge tau}^2 - langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}$$ is a martingale; in particular $$mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2) - mathbb{E}(M_0^2) = mathbb{E}(langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}). tag{1}$$

      2. Deduce from $langle M rangle_{tau} = 0$ that $langle M rangle_{n wedge tau} = 0$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$.

      3. Show that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2) = mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2)-mathbb{E}(M_0^2), qquad n in mathbb{N}_0.$$ (Expand the square and then use the tower property of conditional expectation + the martingale property.)

      4. Combining the first three steps shows that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2)=0$$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$. Conclude.






      share|cite|improve this answer











      $endgroup$
















        1












        1








        1





        $begingroup$

        Hints:




        1. Use the optional stopping theorem to show that $$X_n := M_{n wedge tau}^2 - langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}$$ is a martingale; in particular $$mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2) - mathbb{E}(M_0^2) = mathbb{E}(langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}). tag{1}$$

        2. Deduce from $langle M rangle_{tau} = 0$ that $langle M rangle_{n wedge tau} = 0$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$.

        3. Show that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2) = mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2)-mathbb{E}(M_0^2), qquad n in mathbb{N}_0.$$ (Expand the square and then use the tower property of conditional expectation + the martingale property.)

        4. Combining the first three steps shows that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2)=0$$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$. Conclude.






        share|cite|improve this answer











        $endgroup$



        Hints:




        1. Use the optional stopping theorem to show that $$X_n := M_{n wedge tau}^2 - langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}$$ is a martingale; in particular $$mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2) - mathbb{E}(M_0^2) = mathbb{E}(langle M rangle_{n wedge tau}). tag{1}$$

        2. Deduce from $langle M rangle_{tau} = 0$ that $langle M rangle_{n wedge tau} = 0$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$.

        3. Show that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2) = mathbb{E}(M_{n wedge tau}^2)-mathbb{E}(M_0^2), qquad n in mathbb{N}_0.$$ (Expand the square and then use the tower property of conditional expectation + the martingale property.)

        4. Combining the first three steps shows that $$mathbb{E}((M_{n wedge tau}-M_0)^2)=0$$ for all $n in mathbb{N}_0$. Conclude.







        share|cite|improve this answer














        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer








        edited Jan 24 at 9:10

























        answered Jan 23 at 20:13









        sazsaz

        81.7k861128




        81.7k861128






























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