Expected number of transitions in a binary sequence












1












$begingroup$


Consider a randomly generated (iid) binary sequence of length $N$. What is the expected number of transitions in that sequence?



A transition occurs when a bit changes from $0$ to $1$ or from $1$ to $0$.



For example, consider the following binary sequence of length $5$.



$$10010$$



There are 3 transitions in the above sequence.










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$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    If you're assuming that each bit is $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, this needs to be stated explicitly.
    $endgroup$
    – Brian Tung
    Apr 22 '17 at 1:48












  • $begingroup$
    If that's the case, then you can proceed by generating a $N-1$ bit sequence, in which the $k$th bit is $0$ if the $k$th and $k+1$th bits of the original sequence are the same, and $1$ if they're different. Show that this derived sequence also consists of bits that are independently $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, and figure out the expected number of $1$'s in the derived sequence.
    $endgroup$
    – Brian Tung
    Apr 22 '17 at 1:50
















1












$begingroup$


Consider a randomly generated (iid) binary sequence of length $N$. What is the expected number of transitions in that sequence?



A transition occurs when a bit changes from $0$ to $1$ or from $1$ to $0$.



For example, consider the following binary sequence of length $5$.



$$10010$$



There are 3 transitions in the above sequence.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    If you're assuming that each bit is $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, this needs to be stated explicitly.
    $endgroup$
    – Brian Tung
    Apr 22 '17 at 1:48












  • $begingroup$
    If that's the case, then you can proceed by generating a $N-1$ bit sequence, in which the $k$th bit is $0$ if the $k$th and $k+1$th bits of the original sequence are the same, and $1$ if they're different. Show that this derived sequence also consists of bits that are independently $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, and figure out the expected number of $1$'s in the derived sequence.
    $endgroup$
    – Brian Tung
    Apr 22 '17 at 1:50














1












1








1





$begingroup$


Consider a randomly generated (iid) binary sequence of length $N$. What is the expected number of transitions in that sequence?



A transition occurs when a bit changes from $0$ to $1$ or from $1$ to $0$.



For example, consider the following binary sequence of length $5$.



$$10010$$



There are 3 transitions in the above sequence.










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$




Consider a randomly generated (iid) binary sequence of length $N$. What is the expected number of transitions in that sequence?



A transition occurs when a bit changes from $0$ to $1$ or from $1$ to $0$.



For example, consider the following binary sequence of length $5$.



$$10010$$



There are 3 transitions in the above sequence.







probability combinatorics markov-chains






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share|cite|improve this question











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asked Apr 22 '17 at 1:45









JustinJustin

1747




1747












  • $begingroup$
    If you're assuming that each bit is $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, this needs to be stated explicitly.
    $endgroup$
    – Brian Tung
    Apr 22 '17 at 1:48












  • $begingroup$
    If that's the case, then you can proceed by generating a $N-1$ bit sequence, in which the $k$th bit is $0$ if the $k$th and $k+1$th bits of the original sequence are the same, and $1$ if they're different. Show that this derived sequence also consists of bits that are independently $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, and figure out the expected number of $1$'s in the derived sequence.
    $endgroup$
    – Brian Tung
    Apr 22 '17 at 1:50


















  • $begingroup$
    If you're assuming that each bit is $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, this needs to be stated explicitly.
    $endgroup$
    – Brian Tung
    Apr 22 '17 at 1:48












  • $begingroup$
    If that's the case, then you can proceed by generating a $N-1$ bit sequence, in which the $k$th bit is $0$ if the $k$th and $k+1$th bits of the original sequence are the same, and $1$ if they're different. Show that this derived sequence also consists of bits that are independently $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, and figure out the expected number of $1$'s in the derived sequence.
    $endgroup$
    – Brian Tung
    Apr 22 '17 at 1:50
















$begingroup$
If you're assuming that each bit is $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, this needs to be stated explicitly.
$endgroup$
– Brian Tung
Apr 22 '17 at 1:48






$begingroup$
If you're assuming that each bit is $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, this needs to be stated explicitly.
$endgroup$
– Brian Tung
Apr 22 '17 at 1:48














$begingroup$
If that's the case, then you can proceed by generating a $N-1$ bit sequence, in which the $k$th bit is $0$ if the $k$th and $k+1$th bits of the original sequence are the same, and $1$ if they're different. Show that this derived sequence also consists of bits that are independently $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, and figure out the expected number of $1$'s in the derived sequence.
$endgroup$
– Brian Tung
Apr 22 '17 at 1:50




$begingroup$
If that's the case, then you can proceed by generating a $N-1$ bit sequence, in which the $k$th bit is $0$ if the $k$th and $k+1$th bits of the original sequence are the same, and $1$ if they're different. Show that this derived sequence also consists of bits that are independently $0$ or $1$ with probability $1/2$ each, and figure out the expected number of $1$'s in the derived sequence.
$endgroup$
– Brian Tung
Apr 22 '17 at 1:50










2 Answers
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$begingroup$

There are $N-1$ adjacent pairs of bits, and each pair is a transition with probability $frac12$ (or, in general, with probability $2p(1-p)$, where $p$ is the probability of a $1$), so the expected number of transitions is $frac{N-1}{2}$.



In the case where $p = frac12$, the distribution is binomial; in general, it's not, because adjacent transitions are not independent. (Imagine $p=0.01$; then any transition from $0$ to $1$ is overwhelmingly likely to be followed by a transition back to $0$.)






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$endgroup$





















    1












    $begingroup$

    Assuming the probability of 0 and 1 is equal, and the sequence is memory-less, then the average number of transitions will be (n-1)/2. For each transition for one bit to the next the probability of the next bit being different from the current bit is 1/2, and therefore it counts as 1/2 the transition. For n bits you have (n-1) possible transitions, with a probability of 1/2 for each.






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      2 Answers
      2






      active

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      2 Answers
      2






      active

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      active

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      3












      $begingroup$

      There are $N-1$ adjacent pairs of bits, and each pair is a transition with probability $frac12$ (or, in general, with probability $2p(1-p)$, where $p$ is the probability of a $1$), so the expected number of transitions is $frac{N-1}{2}$.



      In the case where $p = frac12$, the distribution is binomial; in general, it's not, because adjacent transitions are not independent. (Imagine $p=0.01$; then any transition from $0$ to $1$ is overwhelmingly likely to be followed by a transition back to $0$.)






      share|cite|improve this answer











      $endgroup$


















        3












        $begingroup$

        There are $N-1$ adjacent pairs of bits, and each pair is a transition with probability $frac12$ (or, in general, with probability $2p(1-p)$, where $p$ is the probability of a $1$), so the expected number of transitions is $frac{N-1}{2}$.



        In the case where $p = frac12$, the distribution is binomial; in general, it's not, because adjacent transitions are not independent. (Imagine $p=0.01$; then any transition from $0$ to $1$ is overwhelmingly likely to be followed by a transition back to $0$.)






        share|cite|improve this answer











        $endgroup$
















          3












          3








          3





          $begingroup$

          There are $N-1$ adjacent pairs of bits, and each pair is a transition with probability $frac12$ (or, in general, with probability $2p(1-p)$, where $p$ is the probability of a $1$), so the expected number of transitions is $frac{N-1}{2}$.



          In the case where $p = frac12$, the distribution is binomial; in general, it's not, because adjacent transitions are not independent. (Imagine $p=0.01$; then any transition from $0$ to $1$ is overwhelmingly likely to be followed by a transition back to $0$.)






          share|cite|improve this answer











          $endgroup$



          There are $N-1$ adjacent pairs of bits, and each pair is a transition with probability $frac12$ (or, in general, with probability $2p(1-p)$, where $p$ is the probability of a $1$), so the expected number of transitions is $frac{N-1}{2}$.



          In the case where $p = frac12$, the distribution is binomial; in general, it's not, because adjacent transitions are not independent. (Imagine $p=0.01$; then any transition from $0$ to $1$ is overwhelmingly likely to be followed by a transition back to $0$.)







          share|cite|improve this answer














          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer








          edited Apr 22 '17 at 2:04

























          answered Apr 22 '17 at 1:49









          Misha LavrovMisha Lavrov

          47.9k657107




          47.9k657107























              1












              $begingroup$

              Assuming the probability of 0 and 1 is equal, and the sequence is memory-less, then the average number of transitions will be (n-1)/2. For each transition for one bit to the next the probability of the next bit being different from the current bit is 1/2, and therefore it counts as 1/2 the transition. For n bits you have (n-1) possible transitions, with a probability of 1/2 for each.






              share|cite|improve this answer









              $endgroup$


















                1












                $begingroup$

                Assuming the probability of 0 and 1 is equal, and the sequence is memory-less, then the average number of transitions will be (n-1)/2. For each transition for one bit to the next the probability of the next bit being different from the current bit is 1/2, and therefore it counts as 1/2 the transition. For n bits you have (n-1) possible transitions, with a probability of 1/2 for each.






                share|cite|improve this answer









                $endgroup$
















                  1












                  1








                  1





                  $begingroup$

                  Assuming the probability of 0 and 1 is equal, and the sequence is memory-less, then the average number of transitions will be (n-1)/2. For each transition for one bit to the next the probability of the next bit being different from the current bit is 1/2, and therefore it counts as 1/2 the transition. For n bits you have (n-1) possible transitions, with a probability of 1/2 for each.






                  share|cite|improve this answer









                  $endgroup$



                  Assuming the probability of 0 and 1 is equal, and the sequence is memory-less, then the average number of transitions will be (n-1)/2. For each transition for one bit to the next the probability of the next bit being different from the current bit is 1/2, and therefore it counts as 1/2 the transition. For n bits you have (n-1) possible transitions, with a probability of 1/2 for each.







                  share|cite|improve this answer












                  share|cite|improve this answer



                  share|cite|improve this answer










                  answered Jan 27 at 8:03









                  Yishai KaganYishai Kagan

                  111




                  111






























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